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Gasland Message

Name: Fender Bender
E-Mail:
Subject: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: Trump's 100 days
Date: Friday, April 28, 2017
Time: 12:55:56 PM
Remote Address: 174.208.21.223
Message ID: 308072
Parent ID: 308063
Thread ID: 308000

RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: Trump's 100 days

Things would eventually get worse with NK if they go their way unimpeded and develop a deliverable nuke missile system. When it comes down to it, there are only 3 courses of action: war, diplomacy, or an internal coup in NK that would result in a more moderate power structure.

A military strike on NK means that Seoul, SK with a population over 20,000,000 would be reduced to a smoldering ash. I don't even think Trump would go there right now. NK has 15,000 pieces of heavy artillery lined up along the DMZ 30 miles away, not to mention a growing nuclear arsenal. Japan is also vulnerable.

A coup might be wishful thinking, but one never knows. Paranoia works both ways, and if Kim Jong-un's presence is perceived as a long-term threat to his military elite, many who have been executed in recent years, they could plot a revolt.

That leaves diplomacy. China certainly has a stake in resolving the ongoing conflict. NK gives them nothing but the possibility of millions of refugees crossing the border if all hell breaks loose. The rest of world sees NK as the pariah that it is, and China's primary goal is to increase its standing as a military power. Could they apply enough pressure to dismantle the nuke program while assuring the weird haircut guy that he gets to stay in power? That's not altogether good either, but it sure beats risking a nuclear conflict.

Trump has been in office 99 days now and NK is an estimated 10 years away from full deployment of a weapons system that threatens the continental U.S. (Hawaii perhaps half the time). Whether sabre-ratting neocons realize it or not, there is still time to consider a non-military solution here. The recent Syrian missile strike was a one-off equivalent of a photo op, and not a game changer or part of any long term strategy. However, pulling this sort of stunt in NK at this time would have very dire consequences. At any rate, the clock is ticking and doing nothing while hoping for a favorable outcome is not a very good option.

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